SHOW ME THE MONEY

This past Sunday a fairly momentous event happened without much fanfare among the general public. It was the successful splashdown of the Space Exploration Technologies (SpaceX) Dragon spacecraft after a supply mission to the International Space Station—the very first such mission by a craft produced and launched by a private company. This was important to NASA and the International Space Station program in general because it assures the station can continue without the American space shuttles, now retired. The Dragon craft is also capable of bringing back a lot more in the way of research materials than the conventional Russian spacecraft that have been going back and forth to the ISS since the last shuttle flight, and especially refrigerated materials. But this mission was much more important as a symbol: a sign that private industry can pick up where government-funded organizations like NASA leave off in the realm of space exploration.

Why does that matter?

I could list dozens of reasons I think humanity needs to venture out into space—from ecological relief, to easing population pressure, to safeguarding Life from possible extinction by cosmic collision. Yet the truth is, the real motivator that will ensure us a lasting presence in space is the same as it has always been for exploration: wealth. Money. Commerce. Call it what you will. Columbus’s voyages might have been funded by government (royalty) but his explorations were about finding cheaper ways to access the riches of the Orient. Same with the first expeditions to Canada, and then the exploration deeper into the continent was all about the fur trade. The story was the same for Africa and South America, and it will be the same for the Moon and Mars and the asteroid belt. When the journeys can be made to provide a desirable financial return they’ll happen. For that reason my bet is that we’ll have a better-established presence in the asteroid belt before we have colonies of any size on Mars (unless someone discovers oil there!)

What does this mean for the future? Great opportunities for companies that deal in mining technology, pharmaceutical research (thanks to zero-gravity), solar energy, and robotic systems, among many other fields.

And maybe more science fiction stories with former hard rock miners and lab-coated technicians, and fewer hot shot ex-military pilots.

WHAT IF WE KNEW WE HAD NEIGHBOURS?

Just a week ago, on October 17^th, a group of scientists at the Observatory of Geneva in Switzerland announced a discovery some are calling the biggest of the century. They discovered a new planet beyond our solar system—a rocky planet a little more massive than Earth, orbiting so close to its sun that its surface temperature could easily reach 1200 degrees Fahrenheit. So what’s the big deal? Well, it’s the nearest planet we’ve ever found—it orbits the star Alpha Centauri B which, along with its companion Alpha Centauri A, is our closest stellar neighbour, only 4.4 light years away. And where there’s one rocky planet, there are almost always others. Maybe the new planet Alpha Centauri B b has a sister planet that orbits within the habitable zone of its star, a planet that is home to Life.

Those who’ll admit to watching the 1960’s TV show Lost In Space may remember that the Alpha Centauri system was the original destination of the Jupiter 2 mission. Because it’s the closest star system to our own, people have long imagined going there. In reality, we can’t travel at anything close to the speed of light, so even futuristic propulsion methods being developed couldn’t get us there in much less than a human lifetime. NASA and the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (Darpa) are jointly sponsoring a research project called the 100-Year Starship led by former astronaut Mae Jeppison, the first African-American woman in space. The project is charged with envisioning what will be needed to make such a long journey through space, from food supplies to social structures to the clothes the travellers would (or wouldn’t) wear. A daunting task, but since the technology required is likely many years away, I guess there’s no rush.

The thing is, we won’t have to wait a hundred years to know whether Alpha Centauri will change our universe-view forever. The discovery of Alpha Centauri B b required a painstaking process of more than 450 observations over four years (and hasn’t yet been confirmed by another team). But the technology used to discover exoplanets is getting better all the time. Before too many more years we’ll know if Alpha Centauri B has more planets. We’ll know if those planets have atmospheres capable of sustaining life. And soon after, we’ll know if those atmospheres show traces of industrial processes or other signs of civilization. Then we will know we’re not alone in the universe.

I read about a recent survey that said more Brits believe in space aliens than believe in God. But believing isn’t the same as knowing. Once we know we’re not the only intelligent species, will it make us curl up and hide on our little planet, or become aggressive, determined to outcompete anything and anyone else out there? Will we become peaceful? Or fearful?

All of this could follow from last week’s announcement. Significant indeed.

Just as a treat, check out this video of layered images from the International Space Station for a great light show.

DEAD AIR IS NOW IN PRINT

A short update to say that my first novel, the mystery/thriller Dead Air is now in print and available from Scrivener Press. It can also be found at online outlets like Amazon and Chapters-Indigo. If you can't find it in your favourite bookstore, please ask for it.

Dead Air tells the story of radio morning man Lee Garrett, who suddenly realizes that a comment he made on the air has triggered a series of attempts on his life. You can read all about it at my Dead Air page, and then by all means read the book!